Joeri Rogelj

Research interests

• Low emission scenarios
• Climate uncertainty
• Climate policy analysis

Publications

Peer-reviewed journals (newest first)

1. Rogelj, J., D. L. McCollum & K. Riahi (2013) The UN’s new ‘Sustainable Energy For All’ initiative is compatible with 2°C. (Perspective) Nature Climate Change, DOI:10.1038/nclimate1806. (subscription required)
2. Rogelj, J., D. L. McCollum, A. Reisinger, M. Meinshausen & K. Riahi (2013) Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation. Nature, DOI:10.1038/nature11787. (open access)
   This article was highlighted in a Nature news story, a Nature News & Views article by Steve Hatfield-Dodds, and a Research Highlight in Nature Climate Change.
3. Rogelj, J., D. L. McCollum, B. C. O'Neill & K. Riahi (2012) 2020 emissions levels required to limit warming to below 2 °C. Nature Climate Change, DOI:10.1038/nclimate1758. (subscription required)
4. Rogelj, J., M. Meinshausen & R. Knutti (2012) Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates. Nature Climate Change, 2, 248-253, DOI:10.1038/nclimate1385. (subscription required)
   This article was highlighted in a News & Views article by Sarah Raper in Nature Climate Change.
5. Rogelj, J., W. Hare, J. Lowe, D. P. van Vuuren, K. Riahi, B. Matthews, T. Hanaoka, K. Jiang & M. Meinshausen (2011) Emission pathways consistent with a 2[thinsp][deg]C global temperature limit. Nature Climate Change, 1, 413-418, DOI:10.1038/nclimate1258. (subscription required)
6. Rogelj, J., W. Hare, C. Chen & M. Meinshausen (2011) Discrepancies in historical emissions point to a wider 2020 gap between 2°C benchmarks and aggregated national mitigation pledges. Environmental Research Letters, 6, 9, DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/6/2/024002. (open access)
7. Nabel, J. E. M. S., J. Rogelj, C. M. Chen, K. Markmann, D. J. H. Gutzmann & M. Meinshausen (2011) Decision support for international climate policy – The PRIMAP emission module. Environmental Modelling & Software, 26, 1419-1433, DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.08.004. (subscription required)
8. Höhne, N., C. Taylor, R. Elias, M. Den Elzen, K. Riahi, C. Chen, J. Rogelj, G. Grassi, F. Wagner, K. Levin, E. Massetti & Z. Xiusheng (2011) National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2°C: comparison of studies. Climate Policy, 1-22, DOI:10.1080/14693062.2011.637818. (subscription required)
9. Rogelj, J., C. Chen, J. Nabel, K. Macey, W. Hare, M. Schaeffer, K. Markmann, N. Höhne, K. Krogh Andersen & M. Meinshausen (2010) Analysis of the Copenhagen Accord pledges and its global climatic impacts—a snapshot of dissonant ambitions. Environmental Research Letters, 5, 034013, DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034013. (open access)
10. Rogelj, J., J. Nabel, C. Chen, W. Hare, K. Markmann, M. Meinshausen, M. Schaeffer, K. Macey & N. Hohne (2010) Copenhagen Accord pledges are paltry. Nature, 464, 1126-1128, DOI:10.1038/4641126a . (subscription might be required)

Reports and other scientific publications

• UNEP. 2012. The Emissions Gap Report 2012 - A UNEP Synthesis Report. 62. Nairobi, Kenya: UNEP, ISBN: 978-92-807-3303-7.
  Download the report here
  - Chapter 3: The Emissions Gap - An Update
  Lead authors (alphabetic): Rogelj, J. & Shukla, P.R.
  Contributing authors (alphabetic): Dellink, R., den Elzen, M., Hanaoka, T., Lowe, J., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., Schaeffer, M., Schaeffer, R., van Vuuren, D.
• UNEP. 2011. Bridging the Emissions Gap - A UNEP Synthesis Report. 56. Nairobi, Kenya: UNEP, ISBN: 978-92-807-3229-0.
  Download the report here
  - Chapter 2: The Emissions Gap - an update
  Lead authors (alphabetic): Höhne, N., Rogelj, J. & Jiang, K.
  Contributing authors (alphabetic): Chen, C., Dellink, R., den Elzen, M., Gesteira, C., Kevin, K., Lowe, J., Massetti, E., Nyon, T., Sawin, E., Wagner, F. & Xiusheng, Z.
• UNEP. 2010. The Emissions Gap Report - Are the Copenhagen Accord Pledges Sufficient to Limit Global Warming to 2°C or 1.5°C?. 55. Nairobi, Kenya: UNEP, ISBN: 978-92-807-3134-7.
  Download the report here
  - Chapter 2: Which Emission Pathways Are Consistent With a 2°C or 1.5°C Temperature Limit?
  Lead authors (alphabetic): Hare, W., Lowe, J., Rogelj, J., Sawin, E. & van Vuuren, D.
  Contributing authors (alphabetic): Bosetti, V., Hanaoka, T., Kejun, J., Matthews, B., O’Neill, B., Ranger, N. & Riahi, K.
  - Chapter 5: Twenty-first century temperature projections associated with the pledges
  Lead authors (alphabetic): Hare, W., Lowe, J., Rogelj, J., Sawin, E. & van Vuuren, D.
  Contributing authors (alphabetic): Bosetti, V., Hanaoka, T., Kejun, J., Matthews, B., O’Neill, B., Ranger, N. & Riahi, K.
• Emission Pathways to Reach 2°C Target
  Model Results and Analysis, download the report here
  INFRAS and ETH Zurich for Swiss Federal Office for the Environment
  Authors: Füssler, J., Herren, M., Guyer, M. (INFRAS), Rogelj, J., Knutti, R. (ETHZ)
• Rogelj, J., B. Hare, J. Nabel, K. Macey, M. Schaeffer, K. Markmann & M. Meinshausen (2009) Halfway to Copenhagen, no way to 2°C. Nature Reports Climate Change, 81-83, DOI:10.1038/climate.2009.57. (get the article)

Outreach

• Rogelj, J. ETH-Klimablog Energieziele, nachhaltige Entwicklung und Klimaschutz gehen Hand in Hand. 25 February 2013 (link)
• Rogelj, J. ETH-Klimablog Ist das 2-Grad-Klimaziel am Ende? 20 November 2012 (link)
• Reto Knutti & Joeri Rogelj. NZZ am Sonntag. Das Klima verdüstert sich. 27 November 2011 (link)
• Rogelj, J. ETH-Klimablog 2-Grad-Klimaziel wäre erreichbar. 7 December 2011 (link)
• Rogelj, J. ETH-Klimablog Lücke zwischen Emissions- und Klimazielen. 2 December 2010 (link)

Media echoes

Rogelj et al (2013, nature) was included as a research highlight of ETH Zurich in its Globe Magazine and its Annual Report 2012.

A small selection of international media

• Sustainable Energy for All. U.N.'s sustainable energy initiative could keep warming below 2 degrees Celsius - study. 25 February 2013 (link)
• Inter Press Service. Green Energy Solves Dual Crises of Poverty and Climate. 25 February 2013 (link)
• Climate News Network. World can end poverty and limit warming. 24 February 2013 (link)
• Climate News Network. Emission targets: now is the time to act. 8 January 2013 (link)
• wired.co.uk The biggest climate uncertainty: politics. 5 January 2013 (link)
• Live Science. Politics Is Key to Avoiding Global Warming Catastrophe. 2 January 2013 (link)
• ETH Life - Switzerland. Rapid action for more choices. 17 December 2012 (link)
• Inter Press Service. At the Edge of the Carbon Cliff. 17 December 2012 (link)
• Le Temps - Switzerland. Comment limiter le réchauffement à 2°C. 8 November 2011 (link)
• Le Monde (blog) - France. Trop tard pour limiter le réchauffement à 2°C, d’après ‘Nature’. 6 November 2011 (link)
• Tages Anzeiger - Switzerland. Spätestens in zehn Jahren müssen die Emissionen massiv zurückgehen. 25 October 2011
• ABC Science - Australia. Temperature targets slipping away: study. 24 October 2011 (link)
• Instituto Carbono - Brazil. Manter aquecimento global em menos de 2°C ainda é possível, afirmam pesquisadores. 24 October 2011 (link)
• Agence France Presse. 8.5% carbon cut needed by 2020 for Copenhagen goal: study. 24 October 2011
  Echoed: here (Vancouver Sun, Canada), here (O Globo, Brazil), here (Correio Braziliense, Brazil), here (Chinese), here (Chinese), and elsewhere
• Science/AAAS News. Bleak Prospects for Avoiding Dangerous Global Warming. 23 October 2011 (link)
• Inter Press Service. Durban May Be Last Chance to Stabilise Climate Under Two Degrees. 23 October 2011 (link)
  Echoed: here (GvA, Belgium), here (Ejecutivos, Spain), here (DailyFT, Sri Lanka), and elsewhere
• ETH Life - Switzerland. UNEP warnt vor unzureichendem Klimaschutz. 24 November 2010 (link)
• BBC - UK. Climate pledges fall short, says UN. 23 November 2010 (link)
• The Telegraph - India. Climate dud pledges. 22 April 2010 (link)
• BBC - UK. 'Paltry' Copenhagen carbon pledges point to 3C world. 21 April 2010 (link)