Joeri Rogelj

Research interests

• Low emission scenarios
• Climate uncertainty
• Climate policy analysis

Publications

Peer-reviewed journals

• Rogelj, J., D. McCollum, B. O'Neill & K. Riahi (in review) 2020 emissions limits required for limiting global warming to 2°C: ensuring consistency despite uncertainty.
• Rogelj, J., M. Meinshausen & R. Knutti (2012) Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates. Nature Climate Change, 2, 248-253, DOI:10.1038/nclimate1385. (get the article, subscription required)
• Rogelj, J., W. Hare, J. Lowe, D. P. van Vuuren, K. Riahi, B. Matthews, T. Hanaoka, K. Jiang & M. Meinshausen (2011) Emission pathways consistent with a 2[thinsp][deg]C global temperature limit. Nature Climate Change, 1, 413-418, DOI:10.1038/nclimate1258. (get the article, subscription required)
• Rogelj, J., W. Hare, C. Chen & M. Meinshausen (2011) Discrepancies in historical emissions point to a wider 2020 gap between 2°C benchmarks and aggregated national mitigation pledges. Environmental Research Letters, 6, 9, DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/6/2/024002. (get the article, open access)
• Nabel, J. E. M. S., J. Rogelj, C. M. Chen, K. Markmann, D. J. H. Gutzmann & M. Meinshausen (2011) Decision support for international climate policy – The PRIMAP emission module. Environmental Modelling & Software, 26, 1419-1433, DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.08.004. (get the article, subscription required)
• Höhne, N., C. Taylor, R. Elias, M. Den Elzen, K. Riahi, C. Chen, J. Rogelj, G. Grassi, F. Wagner, K. Levin, E. Massetti & Z. Xiusheng (2011) National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2°C: comparison of studies. Climate Policy, 1-22, DOI:10.1080/14693062.2011.637818. (get the article, subscription required)
• Rogelj, J., C. Chen, J. Nabel, K. Macey, W. Hare, M. Schaeffer, K. Markmann, N. Höhne, K. Krogh Andersen & M. Meinshausen (2010) Analysis of the Copenhagen Accord pledges and its global climatic impacts—a snapshot of dissonant ambitions. Environmental Research Letters, 5, 034013, DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034013. (get the article, open access)
• Rogelj, J., J. Nabel, C. Chen, W. Hare, K. Markmann, M. Meinshausen, M. Schaeffer, K. Macey & N. Hohne (2010) Copenhagen Accord pledges are paltry. Nature, 464, 1126-1128, DOI:10.1038/4641126a. (get the article, subscription might be required)

Other scientific publications

• UNEP. 2011. Bridging the Emissions Gap - A UNEP Synthesis Report. 56. Nairobi, Kenya: UNEP, ISBN: 978-92-807-3229-0.
  Download the report here
  - Chapter 2: The Emissions Gap - an update
  Lead authors (alphabetic): Höhne, N., Rogelj, J. & Jiang, K.
  Contributing authors (alphabetic): Chen, C., Dellink, R., den Elzen, M., Gesteira, C., Kevin, K., Lowe, J., Massetti, E., Nyon, T., Sawin, E., Wagner, F. & Xiusheng, Z.
• UNEP. 2010. The Emissions Gap Report - Are the Copenhagen Accord Pledges Sufficient to Limit Global Warming to 2°C or 1.5°C?. 55. Nairobi, Kenya: UNEP, ISBN: 978-92-807-3134-7.
  Download the report here
  - Chapter 2: Which Emission Pathways Are Consistent With a 2°C or 1.5°C Temperature Limit?
  Lead authors (alphabetic): Hare, W., Lowe, J., Rogelj, J., Sawin, E. & van Vuuren, D.
  Contributing authors (alphabetic): Bosetti, V., Hanaoka, T., Kejun, J., Matthews, B., O’Neill, B., Ranger, N. & Riahi, K.
  - Chapter 5: Twenty-first century temperature projections associated with the pledges
  Lead authors (alphabetic): Hare, W., Lowe, J., Rogelj, J., Sawin, E. & van Vuuren, D.
  Contributing authors (alphabetic): Bosetti, V., Hanaoka, T., Kejun, J., Matthews, B., O’Neill, B., Ranger, N. & Riahi, K.
• Rogelj, J., B. Hare, J. Nabel, K. Macey, M. Schaeffer, K. Markmann & M. Meinshausen (2009) Halfway to Copenhagen, no way to 2°C. Nature Reports Climate Change, 81-83, DOI:10.1038/climate.2009.57.

Outreach

• Reto Knutti & Joeri Rogelj. NZZ am Sonntag. Das Klima verdüstert sich. 27 November 2011 (link)
• Rogelj, J. ETH-Klimablog 2-Grad-Klimaziel wäre erreichbar. 7 December 2011 (link)
• Rogelj, J. ETH-Klimablog Lücke zwischen Emissions- und Klimazielen. 2 December 2010 (link)

Media echoes

A small selection of international media

• Le Temps - Switzerland. Comment limiter le réchauffement à 2°C. 8 November 2011 (link)
• Le Monde (blog) - France. Trop tard pour limiter le réchauffement à 2°C, d’après ‘Nature’. 6 November 2011 (link)
• Tages Anzeiger - Switzerland. Spätestens in zehn Jahren müssen die Emissionen massiv zurückgehen. 25 October 2011
• ABC Science - Australia. Temperature targets slipping away: study. 24 October 2011 (link)
• Instituto Carbono - Brazil. Manter aquecimento global em menos de 2°C ainda é possível, afirmam pesquisadores. 24 October 2011 (link)
• Agence France Presse. 8.5% carbon cut needed by 2020 for Copenhagen goal: study. 24 October 2011
  Echoed: here (Vancouver Sun, Canada), here (O Globo, Brazil), here (Correio Braziliense, Brazil), here (Chinese), here (Chinese), and elsewhere
• Science/AAAS News. Bleak Prospects for Avoiding Dangerous GLobal Warming. 23 October 2011 (link)
• Inter Press Service. Durban May Be Last Chance to Stabilise Climate Under Two Degrees. 23 October 2011 (link)
  Echoed: here (GvA, Belgium), here (Ejecutivos, Spain), here (DailyFT, Sri Lanka), and elsewhere
• ETH Life - Switzerland. UNEP warnt vor unzureichendem Klimaschutz. 24 November 2010 (link)
• BBC - UK. Climate pledges fall short, says UN. 23 November 2010 (link)
• The Telegraph - India. Climate dud pledges. 22 April 2010 (link)
• BBC - UK. 'Paltry' Copenhagen carbon pledges point to 3C world. 21 April 2010 (link)