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Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science
 
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Publications

Media News

Treibhausgase erreichen Höchststand, SRF Tagesschau, September 2014

Klimaerwärmung macht Pause, 20 Minuten, August 2014

Bedenkliches Signal der australischen Regierung, SRF1 Rendez-vous, Juli 2014

Alter Mist und Innovation; Uneinigkeit im Umgang mit Klimarisiken, Sonderbeilage Klimaschutz Tagesanzeiger, Juli 2014

"Lange passiert wenig, plötzlich geht es schnell", Blick am Abend, Mai 2014

Klimaprognosen und der Umgang mit Risiken, NZZ Meinung & Debatte, Mai 2013

Polschmelze neu erforscht, SRF Tagesschau, Mai 2014

Klimabericht abgeschwächt – auf Druck der Schwellenländer, Tages-Anzeiger, April 2014

Kohle statt Wende, St. Galler Tagblatt, April 2014

Klimabericht: Abkehr von fossilen Brennstoffen, SRF Tagesschau, April 2014

Anpassungen sind zwingend, Tagblatt, März 2014

Winterkälte und Meereis, NZZ, Januar 2014

Interview Horizonte, Dezember 2013

Click here for full list...

Selected recent publications

Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled

Heated debate on cold weather, Nature Climate Change 2014

Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections, Nature Climate Change 2012

Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate, Nature Climate Change Perspective 2012

Robust joint projections for humidity and temperature extremes, Nature Climate Change 2012

Anthropogenic and natural warming inferred from changes in Earth’s energy balance, Nature Geoscience 2011

Click here for full list...

Quick links

Main page Reto Knutti

Publications

Research

Presentation/Media

Articles in Reviewed Journals (newest first)

  1. Huber, M. B. and R. Knutti, 2014, Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled, Nature Geoscience, doi: 10.1038/NGEO2228, PDF (1.7 MB)
  2. Hawkins, E., B. Anderson, N. Diffenbaugh, I. Mahlstein, R. Betts, G. Hegerl, M. Joshi, R. Knutti, D. McNeall, S. Solomon, R. Sutton, J. Syktus. G. Vecchi, Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates, Nature, 511, E3–E5, doi: 10.1038/nature1352, PDF (0.4 MB)
  3. Schaller, N., J. Sedlacek and R. Knutti, 2014, The asymmetry of the climate system's response to solar forcing changes and its implications for geoengineering scenarios, Journal of Geophysical Research, doi: 10.1002/2013JD021258, online first, PDF (4.0 MB)
  4. Sedláček, J. and R. Knutti, 2014, Half of the world's population experience robust changes in the water cycle for a 2 °C warmer world, Environmental Research Letters, 9, 044008,  doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/044008, PDF
  5. Rogelj, J., M. Meinshausen, J. Sedlacek and R. Knutti, 2014, Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy, Environmental Research Letters, 9, 031003, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/031003, PDF
  6. Huber, M., U. Beyerle and R. Knutti, 2014, Estimating climate sensitivity and future temperature in the presence of natural variability, Geophysical Research Letters, doi: 10.1002/2013GL058532, early online, PDF (1 MB)
  7. Brönnimann, S., C. Appenzeller, M. Croci-Maspoli, J.Fuhrer, M. Grosjean, R. Hohmann, K. Ingold, R. Knutti, M. A. Liniger, C. C. Raible, R. Röthlisberger, C. Schär, S. C. Scherrer, K.Strassmann and P. Thalmann, 2014, Climate change in Switzerland: a review of physical, institutional, and political aspects, WIREs Climate Change, doi: 10.1002/wcc.280, early online, PDF (0.8 MB)
  8. Angelil, O., D. A. Stone, M. Tadross, F. Tummon, M. Wehner and R. Knutti, 2014, Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1002/2014GL059234, early online, PDF (0.7 MB)
  9. Gerber, F., J. Sedlacek and R. Knutti, 2014, Influence of the western North Atlantic and the Barents Sea on European winter climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1002/2014GL059234, early online, PDF (2.4 MB)
  10. Fischer, E. M and R. Knutti, 2014, Detection of spatially aggregated changes in temperature and precipitation extremes, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1002/2013GL058499, early online, PDF (1.2 MB)
  11. Friedlingstein, P., Meinshausen, M. A., Arora, V. K., Jones, C. D., Anav, A., Liddicoat, S. K. and R. Knutti, 2014, Uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections due to carbon cycle feedbacks, Journal of Climate, 27, 511-526, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00579.1, PDF (1.4 MB)
  12. Fischer, E. M., U. Beyerle and R. Knutti, 2013, Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes, Nature Climate Change, 3, 1033-1038, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2051, PDF (4 MB), News and Views: M. G. Donat, Local noise and global confidence, PDF (0.3 MB)
  13. Kopparla, P., E. M. Fischer, C. Hannay and R. Knutti, 2013, Improved simulation of extreme precipitation in a high resolution model, Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 5803–5808, doi:10.1002/2013GL057866, PDF (1.3 MB)
  14. Schaller, N., J. Cermak, M. Wild and R. Knutti, 2013, The sensitivity of the energy budget and hydrological cycle to CO2 and solar forcing, Earth System Dynamics, 4, 253-266, PDF (1 MB)
  15. Frenger, I., N. Gruber, R. Knutti and M. Münnich, 2013, Imprint of Southern Ocean eddies on winds, clouds and rainfall, Nature Geoscience, 6, 608-612, doi:10.1038/ngeo1863, PDF (1 MB)
  16. Otto, A., F. Otto, O. Boucher, J. Church, G. Hegerl, P. M. Forster, N. P. Gillett, J. Gregory, G. C. Johnson, R. Knutti, N. Lewis, U. Lohmann, J. Marotzke, G. Myhre, D. Shindell, B. Stevens and M. R. Allen, 2013, Energy budget constraints on climate response, Nature Geoscience, 415–416, doi:10.1038/ngeo1836, PDF (0.4 MB)
  17. Knutti, R., D. Masson and A. Gettelman, 2013, Climate model genealogy: Generation CMIP5 and how we got there, Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 1194–1199, doi:10.1002/grl.50256, PDF (0.3 MB)
  18. Lustenberger, A., E. M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2013, The potential of pattern scaling for projecting temperature-related extreme indices, International Journal of Climatology, 34, 18-26, doi: 10.1002/joc.3659 PDF (1.2 MB)
  19. Gregory, J. M,  D. Bi, M.A. Collier, M.R. Dix, A.C. Hirst, A. Hu, M. Huber, R. Knutti, S. J. Marsland, M. Meinshausen, H.A. Rashid, L.D. Rotstayn, A. Schurer, J.A. Church, 2013, Climate models without pre-industrial volcanic forcing underestimate historical ocean thermal expansion, Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 1600–1604, doi:10.1002/grl.50339, PDF (0.3 MB)
  20. Masson, D. and R. Knutti, 2013, Predictor screening, calibration, and observational constraints in climate model ensembles: an illustration using climate sensitivity, Journal of Climate, 26, 887-898, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00540.1, PDF (1.6 MB)
  21. PALAEOSENS Project Members (Rohling, E.J., Sluijs, A., Dijkstra, H.A., Köhler, P., van de Wal, R.S.W., von der Heydt, A.S., Beerling, D., Berger, A., Bijl, P.K., Crucifix, M., deConto, R., Drijfhout, S.S., Fedorov, A., Foster, G., Ganopolski, A., Hansen, J., Hönisch, B., Hooghiemstra, H., Huber, M., Huybers, P., Knutti, R., Lea, D.W., Lourens, L.J., Lunt, D., Masson-Demotte, V., Medina-Elizalde, M., Otto-Bliesner, B., Pagani, M., Pälike, H., Renssen, H., Royer, D.L., Siddall, M.,Valdes, P.,  Zachos, J.C., and Zeebe, R.E), 2012, Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity, 2012, Nature, 491, 683–691, PDF (0.8 MB)
  22. Sedlacek, J. and R. Knutti, 2012, Evidence for external forcing on 20th-century climate from combined ocean-atmosphere warming patterns, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L20708, doi:10.1029/2012GL053262, PDF (4.0 MB)
  23. Knutti, R. and J. Sedlacek, 2012, Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections, Nature Climate Change, 3, 369–373, doi:10.1038/nclimate1716, PDF (5.1 MB)
  24. Deser, C., R. Knutti, S. Solomon and A. S. Phillips, 2012, Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate, Nature Climate Change, 2, 775–779, doi:10.1038/nclimate1562, PDF (4.0 MB)
  25. Fischer, E. M. and R. Knutti, 2012, Robust projections for combined humidity and temperature extremes, Nature Climate Change, 3, 126-130, doi:10.1038/nclimate1682, PDF (1.5 MB)
  26. Sanderson, B.M. and R. Knutti, 2012, On the interpretation of constrained climate model ensembles, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L16708, doi:10.1029/2012GL052665, PDF (0.9 MB)
  27. Mahlstein, I. and R. Knutti, 2012, September Arctic sea ice predicted to disappear for 2°C global warming above present, Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D06104, doi: 10.1029/2011JD016709, PDF (1.3 MB)
  28. Knutti, R. and G.-K. Plattner, 2012, Comment on “Why Hasn’t Earth Warmed as Much as Expected?” by Schwartz et al., [Schwartz, S. E., R. J. Charlson, R. A. Kahn, J. A. Ogren, and H. Rodhe, 2010: Why hasn't the Earth warmed as much as expected? J. Climate, 23, 2453-2464, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3461.1], Journal of Climate, 25, 2192-2199, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4038.1, PDF (0.8 MB)
  29. Mahlstein, I., R.W. Portmann, J.L. Daniel, S. Solomon and R. Knutti, 2012, Perceptible changes in regional precipitation in a future climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L05701, doi:10.1029/2011GL050738, PDF (0.7 MB)
  30. Rogelj, J., M. Meinshausen and R. Knutti, 2012, Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates, Nature Climate Change, 2, 248–253, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1385, PDF (1 MB)
  31. Sedlacek, J., R. Knutti, O. Martius and U. Beyerle, 2012. Impact of a reduced Arctic sea-ice cover on ocean and atmospheric properties, Journal of Climate, 25, 307-319, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3904.1, PDF (5 MB)
  32. Tebaldi, C, J. M. Arblaster and R. Knutti, 2011, Mapping model agreement on future climate projections, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L23701, doi: 10.1029/2011GL049863, PDF (2.3 MB)
  33. Huber, M. and R. Knutti, 2011, Anthropogenic and natural warming inferred from changes in Earth’s energy balance, Nature Geoscience, 5, 31–36, doi: 10.1038/NGEO1327, PDF (0.5 MB)
  34. Friedlingstein, P., S. Solomon, G-K. Plattner, R. Knutti, P. Ciais and M. R. Raupach, 2011, Long-term climate implications of twenty-first century options for carbon dioxide emission mitigation, Nature Climate Change, 1, 457-461, doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE1302, PDF (0.5 MB)
  35. Fischer, A. M., A. P. Weigel, C. M. Buser, R. Knutti, H. R. Künsch, M. A. Liniger, C. Schär, and C. Appenzeller, 2011, Climate change projections for Switzerland based on a Bayesian multi model approach, International Journal of Climatology, 32, 2348–2371, doi:10.1002/joc.3396, PDF (1.2 MB)
  36. Mahlstein, I., R. Knutti, S. Solomon and R. W. Portmann, 2011, Early onset of significant local warming in low latitude countries, Environmental Research Letters, 6, 034009, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034009, PDF (0.8 MB)
  37. Sanderson, B. M., B. O'Neill, J. T. Kiehl, G. A. Meehl, R. Knutti and W. M. Washington, 2011, The response of the climate system to very high greenhouse gas emission scenarios, Environmental Research Letters, 6, 034005, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034005, PDF (1.2 MB)
  38. Masson, D. and R. Knutti, 2011, Spatial scale dependence of climate model performance in the CMIP3 ensemble, Journal of Climate, 24, 2680-2692, doi:10.1175/2011JCLI3513.1, PDF (3.2 MB)
  39. Sedlacek, J., O. Martius and R. Knutti, 2011, Influence of subtropical and polar sea-surface temperature anomalies on temperatures in Eurasia, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L12803, doi:10.1029/2011GL047764, PDF (1.8 MB)
  40. Schaller, N., I. Mahlstein, J. Cermak and R. Knutti, 2011, Analyzing precipitation projections: A comparison of different approaches to climate model evaluation, Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, D10118, doi:10.1029/2010JD014963, PDF (2.1 MB)
  41. Masson, D. and R. Knutti, 2011, Climate model genealogy, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L08703, doi:10.1029/2011GL046864, PDF (0.4 MB)
  42. Mahlstein, I. and R. Knutti, 2011, Ocean heat transport as a cause for model uncertainty in projected Arctic warming, Journal of Climate, 24, 1451-1460, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3713.1, PDF (2.1 MB)
  43. Huber, M., R. Knutti, I. Mahlstein, M. Wild and J. Fasullo, 2011, Constraints on climate sensitivity from radiation patterns in climate models, Journal of Climate, 24, 1034-1052, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3403.1, PDF (2.7 MB)
  44. Bahn, O., N.R. Edwards, R. Knutti and T.F. Stocker, 2011, Energy policies avoiding a tipping point in the climate system, Energy Policy, 39, 334-348, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.10.002, PDF (1.1 MB)
  45. Cermak, J., M. Wild, R. Knutti, M. I. Mishchenko and A. K. Heidinger, 2010, Consistency between global satellite-derived aerosol and cloud data sets on recent brightening trends, Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L21704, doi:10.1029/2010GL044632, PDF (3.3 MB)
  46. Solomon, S., J. S. Daniel, T. J. Sanford, D. M. Murphy, G.-K. Plattner, R. Knutti and P. Friedlingstein, 2010, Persistence of climate change due to a range of greenhouse gases, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107, 18354–18359, doi:10.1073/pnas.1006282107, PDF (0.5 MB)
  47. Weigel, A. R. Knutti, M. Liniger and C. Appenzeller, 2010, Risks of model weighting in multi-model climate projections, Journal of Climate, 23, 4175-4191, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3594.1, PDF (1.4 MB)
  48. Knutti, R., R. Furrer, C. Tebaldi, J. Cermak and G.A. Meehl, 2010, Challenges in combining projections from multiple models, Journal of Climate, 23, 2739-2758, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3361.1, PDF (2.2 MB)
  49. Knutti, R., The end of model democracy?, 2010, Editorial for Climatic Change, 102, 395–404, doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9800-2, PDF (0.3 MB)
  50. Perch-Nielsen, S.L., Amelung, B. and R. Knutti, 2010, Future Climate Resources for Tourism in Europe based on the daily Tourism Climatic Index, Climatic Change, 103, 363–381, doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9772-2, PDF (0.8 MB)
  51. Köhler, P., R. Bintanja, H. Fischer, F. Joos, R. Knutti, G. Lohmann, and V. Masson-Delmotte, 2010, What caused Earth's temperature variations during the last 800,000 years? Data-based evidences on radiative forcing and constraints on climate sensitivity, Quaternary Science Reviews, 29, 129–145, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.09.026, PDF (3.0 MB)
  52. Tomassini, L., R. Knutti, G.-K. Plattner, D. Van Vuuren, T.F. Stocker, R.B. Howarth, and M.E. Borsuk, 2010, Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century: comparing mitigation to non-intervention scenarios, Climatic Change, 103, 399–422, doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9763-3, PDF (0.5 MB)
  53. Tomassini, L., P. Reichert, H.-R. Künsch, C. Buser, R. Knutti and M. E. Borsuk, 2010, A smoothing algorithm for estimating stochastic, continuous-time model parameters and its application to a simple climate model, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series C Applied Statistics), 58 (5), 679-704, PDF (1.7 MB)
  54. Mahlstein, I., and R. Knutti, 2010, Regional climate change patterns identified by cluster analysis, Climate Dynamics, 35, 587-600, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0654-0, PDF (1.5 MB)
  55. Cermak, J. and R. Knutti, 2009, Beijing Olympics as an aerosol field experiment, Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L10806, doi:10.1029/2009GL038572, PDF (0.3 MB)
  56. Meinshausen, M., N. Meinshausen, W. Hare, S. C. B. Raper, K. Frieler, R. Knutti, D. J. Frame and M. R. Allen, 2009, Greenhouse gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2°C. Nature, 458, 1158-1163, doi:10.1038/nature08017, PDF (2.9 MB), PDF News and Views.
  57. Washington, W. M., R. Knutti, G. A. Meehl, H. Teng, C. Tebaldi, D. Lawrence, L. Buja, and W. G. Strand, 2009, How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation?, Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L08703, doi:10.1029/2008GL037074, PDF (1.6 MB)
  58. Solomon, S., G.-K. Plattner, R. Knutti and P. Friedlingstein, 2009, Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106, 1704-1709, doi:10.1073/pnas.0812721106, PDF (1 MB)
  59. Knutti, R. and G. C. Hegerl, 2008, The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth’s temperature to radiation changes, Nature Geoscience, 1, 735-743, doi:10.1038/ngeo337, PDF (0.7 MB)
  60. Jun, M., R. Knutti and D. W. Nychka, 2008, Spatial analysis to quantify numerical model bias and dependence: How many climate models are there?, Journal of the American Statistical Association Applications and Case Studies, 103 (483), 934-947 doi:10.1198/016214507000001265, PDF (1.5 MB)
  61. Knutti, R., Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?, 2008, Triennial Issue Earth Science of Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 366, 4647-4664, doi:10.1098/rsta.2008.0169, PDF (1.3 MB)
  62. Jun, M., R. Knutti and D. W. Nychka, 2008, Local eigenvalue analysis of CMIP3 climate model errors, Tellus, 60A, 992-1000, PDF (0.7 MB)
  63. Knutti, R., 2008, Why are climate models reproducing the observed global surface warming so well?, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L18704, doi:10.1029/2008GL034932, PDF (0.2 MB)
  64. Knutti, R., S.Krähenmann, D. J. Frame and M. R. Allen, 2008, Comment on ‘Heat capacity, time constant and sensitivity of Earth’s climate system’ by S. E. Schwartz, JGR, 113, D15103, doi:10.1029/2007JD009473, PDF (0.2 MB)
  65. Plattner, G.-K., R. Knutti, F. Joos, T. F. Stocker, W. von Bloh, V. Brovkin, D. Cameron, E. Driesschaert, S. Dutkiewicz, M. Eby, N. R. Edwards, T. Fichefet, J. C. Hargreaves, C. D. Jones, M. F. Loutre, H. D. Matthews, A. Mouchet, S. A. Mueller, S. Nawrath, A. Price, A. Sokolov, K. M. Strassmann, and A. J. Weaver, 2008, Long-term climate commitments projected with climate - carbon cycle models. Journal of Climate, 21, 2721-2751, PDF (2.4 MB)
  66. Flückiger, J., R. Knutti, J. W. C. White and H. Renssen, 2008, Modeled seasonality of glacial abrupt climate change, Climate Dynamics, 31, 633-645, doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0373-y, PDF (1 MB)
  67. Knutti, R., M. R. Allen, P. Friedlingstein, J. M. Gregory, G. C. Hegerl, G. A. Meehl, M. Meinshausen, J. M. Murphy, G.-K. Plattner, S. C. B. Raper, T. F. Stocker, P. A. Stott, H. Teng and T. M. L Wigley, 2008, A review of uncertainties in global temperature projections over the twenty-first century, Journal of Climate, 21, 2651-2663, PDF (0.9 MB)
  68. Sanderson, B., R. Knutti, T. Aina, C. Christensen, N. Faull, D. J. Frame, W. J. Ingram, C. Piani, D. A. Stainforth, D. A. Stone and M. R. Allen, 2008, Constraints on model response to greenhouse gas forcing and the role of subgrid scale processes, Journal of Climate, 21, 2384-2400 PDF (1.7 MB)
  69. Knutti, R. and L. Tomassini, 2008, Constraints on the transient climate response from observed global temperature and ocean heat uptake, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L09701, doi:10.1029/2007GL032904, PDF (0.5 MB)
  70. Tebaldi, C. and R. Knutti, 2007, The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society  A, 365, 2053-2075, doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2076, PDF (0.3 MB)
  71. Tomassini, L., P. Reichert, R. Knutti, T. F. Stocker and M. Borsuk, 2007, Robust Bayesian uncertainty analysis of climate system properties using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, Journal of Climate, 20, 1239-1254, PDF (0.7 MB)

  72. Furrer, R., R. Knutti, S. Sain, D. Nychka and G.A. Meehl, 2006, Spatial patterns of probabilistic temperature change projections from a multivariate Bayesian analysis, Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L06711, doi:10.1029/2006GL027754, PDF (0.5 MB)PDF of supplementary material (1 MB)

  73. Bahn, O., L. Drouet, N.R. Edwards, A. Haurie, S. Kypreos, R. Knutti, T.F. Stocker and J.-P. Vial, 2006, The coupling of optimal economic growth and climate dynamics, Climatic Change, 79, 103-119, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9108-4ss, PDF (0.5 MB)

  74. Knutti, R., G.A. Meehl, M.R. Allen and D. A. Stainforth, 2006, Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature, Journal of Climate, 19 (17), 4224-4233, PDF (0.8 MB)

  75. Flückiger, J., R. Knutti, J.W.C. White, 2006, Oceanic processes as potential trigger and amplifying mechanisms for Heinrich events, Paleoceanography, 21, PA2014, doi:10.1029/2005PA001204.PDF (0.7 MB)

  76. Knutti, R., F. Joos, S. A. Mueller, G. K. Plattner and T. F. Stocker, 2005, Probabilistic climate change projections for stabilization profiles, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L20707, doi:10.1029/2005GL023294,. PDF (0.3 MB)

  77. Rahmstorf, S., M. Crucifix, A. Ganopolski, H. Goosse, I. Kamenkovich, R. Knutti, G. Lohmann, R. Marsh, L. A. Mysak, Z. Wang, A. J. Weaver, 2005, Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: a model intercomparison, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L23605, doi:10.1029/2005GL023655 PDF (0.2 MB)

  78. Köhler, P., F. Joos, S. Gerber and R. Knutti, 2005, Simulating changes in vegetation distribution, land carbon storage, and atmospheric CO2 in response to a collapse of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation, Climate Dynamics 25, 689-708, doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0058-8 PDF (1.5 MB)

  79. Knutti, R., J. Flückiger, T.F. Stocker and A. Timmermann, 2004, Strong hemispheric coupling of glacial climate through freshwater discharge and ocean circulation, Nature 430, 851-856. PDF (0.8 MB) Supplementary Material (PDF 0.6 MB) Nature: News & Views (PDF 0.1 MB)

  80. Knutti, R., T. F. Stocker, F. Joos and G.-K. Plattner, 2003, Probabilistic climate change projections using neural networks, Climate Dynamics, 257-272, doi:10.1007/s00382-003-0345-1. PDF (0.5 MB)

  81. Anderson, T.L., R. J. Charlson, S. E. Schwartz, R. Knutti, O. Boucher, H. Rodhe and J. Heintzenberg, 2003, Climate forcing by aerosols - a hazy picture, Science 300, 1103-1104.PDF (0.1 MB)

  82. Knutti, R., T. F. Stocker, F. Joos and G.-K. Plattner, 2002, Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles, Nature 416, 719-723. PDF (0.2 MB), related News&Views

  83. Knutti, R. and T. F. Stocker, 2002, Limited predictability of the future thermohaline circulation close to an instability threshold, Journal of Climate, 15, 179-186. PDF (0.2 MB)

  84. Knutti, R. and T. F. Stocker, 2000, Influence of the thermohaline circulation on projected sea level rise, Journal of Climate, 13, 1997-2001. PDF (0.2 MB)

  85. Knutti, R., T. F. Stocker and D. G. Wright, 2000, The effects of sub-grid-scale parameterizations in a zonally averaged ocean model, Journal of Physical Oceanography , 30, 2738-2752. PDF (0.3 MB)

Articles submitted or in press

  1. D. E. Keller, A. M. Fischer, C. Frei, M. A. Liniger, C. Appenzeller and R. Knutti, Stochastic modelling of spatially and temporally consistent daily precipitation time-series over complex topography, HESS, submitted (Discussion paper)
  2. Sanderson, B. M., R. Knutti and P. Caldwell, Addressing interdependency in a multi-model ensemble. Part 1 - interpolation of model properties, Journal of Climate, in revision
  3. Sanderson, B. M., R. Knutti and P. Caldwell, Addressing interdependency in a multi-model ensemble. Part 2 - A representative democracy, Journal Climate, in revision
  4. Knutti, R. and J. Rogelj, The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics, Climatic Change, submitted

Books chapters and reports

  1. Stocker, T. F., R. Knutti, G.-K. Plattner, 2001, The future of the thermohaline circulation - a perspective, In: The Ocean and Rapid Climate Changes: Past, Present, and Future, D. Seidov et al. (eds.), Geophysical Monograph 126, American Geophysical Union, 277-293. PDF (0.5 MB)
  2. Allen, M., N. Andronova, B. Booth, S. Dessai, D. Frame, C. Forest, J. Gregory, G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, C. Piani, D. Sexton, D. Stainforth, 2006, Observational constraints on climate sensitivity, in Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, (Eds.) J.S. Schellnhuber, W. Cramer, N. Nakicenovic, T.M.L. Wigley, G. Yohe., Cambridge Univ. Press.PDF (0.8 MB or PDF of complete book (17 MB), see chapter 29
  3. Tebaldi, C. and R. Knutti, 2009, Climate models and their projections of future changes, in: Climate change and food security, edited by D. B. Lobell and M. Burke, Springer Series: Advances in Global Change Research, Vol. 37, 10.1007/978-90-481-2953-9, Springer Netherlands, pp. 31-56
  4. Knutti, R., 2009, Klima und Energie, in: Energie, Reihe Zürcher Hochschulforum, edited by P.R. von Rohr et al., pp. 209-220
  5. Stone, D.A., and R. Knutti, 2010, Weather and Climate, in: Modeling the impact of climate change on water resources, edited by C.F. Fung, A. Lopez and M. New, Blackwell Publishing, pp. 4-33
  6. CH2011, 2011, Swiss Climate Change Scenarios CH2011, published by C2SM, MeteoSwiss, ETH, NCCR Climate, and OcCC, Zurich, Switzerland, 88 pp.
    ISBN: 978-3-033-03065-7, Full report, summary and data available here
  7. Füssler, J., M. Herren, M. Guyer, J. Rogelj and R. Knutti, 2012, Emission pathways to reach 2°C target, Report by INFRAS and IAC ETH commissioned by the Swiss Federal Office for the Environment, PDF (1 MB)
  8. Knutti, R., 2012, Modeling environmental change and developing future projections, in: Handbook of Environmental Change, SAGE Publications, edited by J.A. Matthews, ISBN: 9780857023605
  9. Wolff, E. W., S. P. Harrison, R. Knutti, M. F. Sanchez-Goñi, O. Wild, A.-L. Daniau, V. Masson-Delmotte, I. C. Prentice and R. Spahni, 2012, How has climate responded to natural perturbations, in: Understanding the Earth System, eds. S. Cornell, I.C. Prentice, J. House and C. Downy, Cambridge University Press, ISBN-13: 9781107009363
  10. Sanderson, B. J. and R. Knutti, 2012, Climate Change Projections: Multi-Model Ensembles, in: Encyclopedia of Sustainability Science and Technology, Springer, ISBN 978-0-387-89469-0
  11. Klimaziele und Emissionsreduktion: Eine Analyse und politische Vision für die Schweiz, 2012, OCCC, PDF (4 MB)
  12. Van den Hurk, B., P. Braconnot, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, P. Gleckler, R. Knutti and J. Teixeira, 2013, Assessing the Reliability of Climate Models, CMIP5, in: G.R. Asrar and J.W. Hurrell (eds.), Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modeling and Prediction Priorities, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht, doi:10.1007/978-94-007-6692-1_9, 237-248 (PDF 0.1 MB)

Other unreviewed articles (newest first)

  1. Fischer, E. M. and R. Knutti, 2014, Heated debate on cold weather, Nature Climate Change News and Views, 4, 537-538, PDF (0.2 MB)
  2. Knutti, R., 2012, Von nichts kommt nichts, Physik in unserer Zeit, 43, 107, PDF (0.1 MB)
  3. Eyring, V., R. Knutti and C. Textor, 2011, IEEE GRSS welcomes contributions of the society members to the preparation of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Reprort, IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Society Newsletter, September 2011, PDF (0.2 MB)
  4. Allen, M.R., D. Frame, K. Frieler, W. Hare, C. Huntingford, C. Jones, R. Knutti, J. Lowe, M. Meinshausen, N. Meinshausen and S. Raper, 2009, The exit strategy, Nature Reports Cimate Change, 3, 56-59, PDF (0.4 MB)
  5. Knutti, R., 2009, Climate change -  How much do we know?, Asia Insurance Review, February 2009, 60-61, PDF (0.2 MB)
  6. Knutti, R., 2008, Climate change -  How much do we know?, Geneva Association Information Newsletter, November 2008, 5-6
  7. Knutti, R., 2008, Preface in: Green IT - Studie und Leitfaden zur Gestaltung nachhaltiger IT-Infrastrukturen, Sieber und Partner, 7-9 (in german)
  8. Knutti, R., 2008, Hotter or not? Should we believe model predictions of future climate?, Significance (Royal Statistical Society), 5, 159-162, PDF (1.6 MB)
  9. Knutti, R., 2005, Evaluating climate impacts with intermediate complexity models, Extended abstract in the meeting report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Emission Scenarios, Washington D.C., USA, 35-37. Full meeting report (3.4 MB)

  10. Knutti, R., 2004, Twentieth century climate and probabilistic estimates of climate sensitivity, Extended abstract in the meeting report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Workshop on Climate Sensitivity, Paris, France, 113-114. Full meeting report (4.4 MB)

  11. Renold M., U. Beyerle, C.C. Raible, R. Knutti, T.F. Stocker, T. Craig, 2004, Climate modeling with a Linux cluster. EOS: Transactions of the American Geophysical Union. 85, 290. PDF (0.2 MB)

  12. Stocker, T.F., and R. Knutti, 2003, Do simplified models have any useful skill. CLIVAR Exchanges 8 (1), 7-10. PDF (0.8 MB)

  13. Stocker, T.F., and R. Knutti, 2001, Predictability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation under global warming. CLIVAR Exchanges 6 (3), 5-7. PDF (0.34 MB)

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (newest first)

  1. Drafting author of: IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF
  2. Lead author of: Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, L.V. Alexander, S.K. Allen, N.L. Bindoff, F.-M. Bréon, J.A. Church, U. Cubasch, S. Emori, P. Forster, P. Friedlingstein, N. Gillett, J.M. Gregory, D.L. Hartmann, E. Jansen, B. Kirtman, R. Knutti, K. Krishna Kumar, P. Lemke, J. Marotzke, V. Masson-Delmotte, G.A. Meehl, I.I. Mokhov, S. Piao, V. Ramaswamy, D. Randall, M. Rhein, M. Rojas, C. Sabine, D. Shindell, L.D. Talley, D.G. Vaughan and S.-P. Xie, 2013: Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  3. Coordinating lead author of: Collins, M., R. Knutti, J. Arblaster, J.-L. Dufresne, T. Fichefet, P. Friedlingstein, X. Gao, W.J. Gutowski, T. Johns, G. Krinner, M. Shongwe, C. Tebaldi, A.J. Weaver and M. Wehner, 2013: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  4. Contributing author to: Masson-Delmotte, V., M. Schulz, A. Abe-Ouchi, J. Beer, A. Ganopolski, J.F. González Rouco, E. Jansen, K. Lambeck, J. Luterbacher, T. Naish, T. Osborn, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Quinn, R. Ramesh, M. Rojas, X. Shao and A. Timmermann, 2013: Information from Paleoclimate Archives. In: Climate Change  2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  5. Contributing author to: Flato, G., J. Marotzke, B. Abiodun, P. Braconnot, S.C. Chou, W. Collins, P. Cox, F. Driouech, S. Emori, V. Eyring, C. Forest, P. Gleckler, E. Guilyardi, C. Jakob, V. Kattsov, C. Reason and M. Rummukainen, 2013: Evaluation of Climate Models. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  6. Contributing author to: Bindoff, N.L., P.A. Stott, K.M. AchutaRao, M.R. Allen, N. Gillett, D. Gutzler, K. Hansingo, G. Hegerl, Y. Hu, S. Jain, I.I. Mokhov, J. Overland, J. Perlwitz, R. Sebbari and X. Zhang, 2013: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  7. Knutti, R., G. Abramowitz, M. Collins, V. Eyring, P.J. Gleckler, B. Hewitson, and L. Mearns, 2010: Good Practice Guidance Paper on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections. In: Meeting Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. IPCC Working Group I Technical Support Unit, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, PDF (0.8 MB)
  8. Forster, P., G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, V. Ramaswamy, S. Solomon, T. F. Stocker, P. Stott and F. Zwiers, 2007, Assessing uncertainty in climate simulations , Nature Reports Climate Change, 4, 63-64 PDF (0.7 MB). In reply to the comment: Schwartz, S. E., R. J. Charlson and H. Rodhe, Quantifying climate change - too rosy a picture? Nature Reports Climate Change, 1, 23-24 PDF (0.2 MB).
  9. Lead author of: Meehl, G.A., T.F. Stocker, W.D. Collins, P. Friedlingstein, A.T. Gaye, J.M. Gregory, A. Kitoh, R. Knutti, J.M. Murphy, A. Noda, S.C.B. Raper, I.G. Watterson, A.J. Weaver and Z.-C. Zhao, 2007: Global Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (12.0 MB)
  10. Contributing author to: Hegerl, G.C., F. W. Zwiers, P. Braconnot, N.P. Gillett, Y. Luo, J.A. Marengo Orsini, N. Nicholls, J.E. Penner and P.A. Stott, 2007: Understanding and Attributing Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (5.8 MB)
  11. Contributing author to: Christensen, J.H., B. Hewitson, A. Busuioc, A. Chen, X. Gao, I. Held, R. Jones, R.K. Kolli, W.-T. Kwon, R. Laprise, V. Magana Rueda, L. Mearns, C.G. Menendez, J. Raisanen, Rinke, A. Sarr and P. Whetton, 2007: Regional Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (6.8 MB)
  12. Draft contributing author to: IPCC, 2007: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (3.0 MB)
    German Translation/Deutsche Uebersetzung von Proclim: PDF (3.0 MB)
  13. Contributing author to: Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, R.B. Alley, T. Berntsen, N.L. Bindoff, Z. Chen, A. Chidthaisong, J.M. Gregory, G.C. Hegerl, M. Heimann, B. Hewitson, B.J. Hoskins, F. Joos, J. Jouzel, V. Kattsov, U. Lohmann, T. Matsuno, M. Molina, N. Nicholls, J. Overpeck, G. Raga, V. Ramaswamy, J. Ren, M. Rusticucci, R. Somerville, T.F. Stocker, P. Whetton, R.A. Wood and D. Wratt, 2007: Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF (15.5 MB)
  14. Contributing author to: Cubasch, U., G. A. Meehl, G. J. Boer, R. J. Stouffer, M. Dix, A. Noda, C. A. Senior, S. Raper and K. S. Yap, Projections of Future Climate Change, in Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C. A. Johnson, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, 881 pp.

Diploma thesis

Ph.D thesis

 

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